Category Archives: expert rating

AIQ Systems AI Market Ratings updated signals June 10, 2024

In this update, we’re going to discuss the most recent market timing signals from the Expert system within our Trading Expert Pro platform.

On your screen is a daily chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average with a price phase indicator underneath, displaying Heiken Ashi-mode candles. The green bars indicate an uptrend, red bars show a downtrend, and the bars that are neither green nor red are based on a color study indicating a high market rating. To explain these market ratings: over 400 rules run through an inference engine—a decision tree process where 400 different indicator states are evaluated. When one rule fires, it triggers the evaluation of certain other rules. These decision pathways contribute to a high expert rating, either up or down, which can signal a change in market direction.

The expert rules are based on historical Dow Jones price action and the internals of the New York Stock Exchange, such as new highs, new lows, and advancing/declining issues, evaluated using numerous indicators. Every day, we generate an expert rating. Most ratings are neutral, meaning few or no rules fired. For instance, on June 4th of this year, the rating was neutral. Once the rules’ weighting reaches beyond 95 up or down, it’s a significant level. On the price chart, buy and sell points are indicated for ratings greater than 95. I’ve marked only the first in a batch of signals; subsequent signals reinforce the initial one. For example, a sell signal is marked by a yellow bar indicating a 96 down rating, signifying importance. Each day, an expert rating is shown on the chart. Scrolling forward, you’ll see the numbers change. White bars indicate a 95 or greater up signal, while yellow bars show a 95 or greater down signal.

The charts are annotated with buy and sell signals. When multiple buy signals occur, we focus on the first one, with subsequent signals reinforcing it. The same applies to sell signals. We haven’t updated these market timing signals in a while. Starting back in late February 2024, there was a buy signal on February 22nd, indicating a 95 rating for the upside. The rules contributing to this signal include the advanced decline oscillator turning positive, viewed as bullish in the market. The New York breadth data’s new high/low indicator reversing to the upside also supports this bullish signal. Price action moved up slightly before flattening out, followed by a sell signal. Examining the sell signal rules, volume accumulation percentages decreased, and the stochastic moved below the 80% line, indicating bearish conditions. Buy and sell signals appear consistently, with some leading to short-term gains.

Recently, on June 6th, there was another sell signal, reinforcing a previous one. Rules indicated negative shifts in the advanced decline line and up-down volume oscillator. These strong signals suggest a continued downtrend. The system, tested over 37 years, uses an inference engine decision tree process, providing standardized market analysis.

For a closer look, visit aiqsystems.com and try our service for a month for just $1, including end-of-day data. This system’s consistency over the years speaks for itself. https://aiqeducation.com/1-trial/

AIQ Expert Ratings How Best to Use Them

Recording of an hour-long session with Steve Hill, CEO of AIQ Systems. It’s one of the longest-running AI-based systems in the world. Like any AI it isn’t perfect. In this session, Steve covered leveraging these ratings for effective trading decisions. Includes an EDS file that scans for unusual rating patterns of 11-59, 16-56, and 76-5.

https://aiqeducation.com/downloads/16561159.EDS

https://aiqeducation.com/downloads/11591656705.edp

https://aiqeducation.com/downloads/16561159%20all2.edp

https://aiqeducation.com/downloads/11591656.edp

Download these 4 files to your /wintes32/EDS Strategies folder. Open EDS and open the file c:/wintes32/EDS Strategies/16561159.eds

Market Timing update 10-28-20

It’s been a couple of months since we last looked at the Market Timing AI Expert System. Since that time the 400 rules that make up this AI system have generated a cluster of 3 down signals, followed by a buy signal and then most recently another down signal.

In this 7 minute video Steve Hill, CEO of AIQ Systems explores the signals and the confirmation techniques used to verfiy the ratings, together with the primary rules that fired.

Quick Market update video

The Expert System in TradingExpert Pro gave a 1 – 99 down signal on the Dow Jones on 8-27-20. The market internals based on the advancing vs declining issue in the New York market continue to diverge from the market price action.

The phase indicator used to confirm Expert Ratings turned down on 8-31-20. We usually look for a phase confirmation of an Expert Rating to occur within 3 days of the rating.

The changes made in the constituents of the Dow 30 effective 8-31-20

  • Salesforce.com replaced Exxon Mobil, Amgen replacedd Pfizer and Honeywell replaced Raytheon Technologies.
  • The changes were due to Apple’s 4-for-1 stock split, which significantly reduced the indexes exposure to the information technology sector.
  • The Dow 30 is a price weighted index.

AIQ Market Timing update 7-29-20

Market volatility has stabilized some. In this update we’ll take a look at the current AI signals on the Dow Jones. For folks less familiar with our AI engine here’s a recap of what we do.

TradingExpert Pro uses two AI knowledge bases, one specifically designed to issue market timing signals and the other designed to issue stock timing signals.

Each contains approximately 400 rules, but only a few “fire” on any given day.  In the language of expert systems, those rules that are found to be valid on a particular day are described as having “fired”.  

Rules can fire in opposite directions.  When this happens, the bullish and bearish rules fight it out.  It’s only when bullish rules dominate that the Expert Rating signal is bullish, or when bearish rules dominate that the Expert Rating signal is bearish.

The Expert Rating consists of two values. 

The upside rating is the value on the left and the downside rating is on the right.  Expert Ratings are based on a scale of 0 to 100.  An Expert Rating of 95 to 100 is considered a strong signal that the Stock or market may change direction.  

An Expert Rating below 90 is considered meaningless.  A low rating means that there is not enough consistency in the rules that fired to translate to a signal.  The expert system has not found enough evidence to warrant a change from the last strong signal.